Thursday, February 05, 2026

Cuba Has a Secret Plan

From Granma: Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel says Cuba has lots of support and plenty of governments and institutions ready to help it, but he can't talk about it.

Apuntó que, además de esas manifestaciones de solidaridad, «hay más cosas, cosas que no podemos hoy explicar abiertamente, porque el enemigo está en una persecución de todas las luces que se le pueden abrir a Cuba, de todos los caminos que se le pueden abrir a Cuba; pero sí les puedo asegurar, con todo sentido de responsabilidad, que Cuba no está sola.

«En un momento como este hay mucha gente, gobiernos, países, instituciones, empresas que están dispuestos a trabajar con Cuba y que ya nos han hecho llegar vías, mecanismos, intenciones de cómo podemos hacer.

So sure, you wouldn't want to publicize any of this, but it's difficult to supply anything secretly to Cuba. The trick is that Cuba badly needs oil and the U.S. has promised tariff retaliation for selling to Cuba. You can't get oil there without anyone knowing.

Both Mexico and Russia have publicly said they'll keep sending it (even though Donald Trump said Mexico would stop). However, Claudia Sheinbaum suggested that she might not want to suffer the tariffs. The loss of Mexican oil would be huge. Russia's supply is much smaller but every bit counts because Cuba cannot produce enough for its own needs.

So perhaps there are plans afoot to get some critical goods to Cuba, which can slightly ease the pain inflicted by the embargo and threats. Certainly, the Cuban government enjoys a level of international respect that Venezuela lacked (or once had, then lost as it became clear that Maduro and much of the regime wasn't even slightly revolutionary). But it may well be that the most important assistance will have to be public because it's in bulk.


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