Honduran dialogue
News about Honduras is basically abuzz about "dialogue." According to La Prensa, Roberto Micheletti has apparently accepted an OAS mission, at the urging of Jimmy Carter. That came after Mel Zelaya announced that Micheletti's own conditions for "dialogue" were so one-sided as to be unacceptable.
Dialogue is indeed positive, but only to a point. If the dialogue does not become negotiation, then it is largely pointless because it is only two sides talking at one another.
A lot depends on Hondurans themselves. If protests dwindle and most people go back to their daily routines, then the crisis might easily revert to its previous situation of ticking off the days until the election. Just as before, there is little overt international pressure on the coup government, or at least not enough to change its stance.
Days since the coup: 89
Days until the scheduled presidential election: 65
2 comments:
there is little overt international pressure on the coup government, or at least not enough to change its stance.
Who should do what, specifically?
To me, the effect of the UN's rejection of the legitimacy of Honduran elections and its immediate withdrawal of technical support was stronger than this post seems to recognize. It seriously weakens the coup regime's effort to tick away the clock and pretend that elections are a solution.
The UN Security Council is meeting today in the special session requested by Brazil Tuesday.
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