Sunday, February 06, 2011

Latin America-Arab Summit blues

Last month I mentioned the Latin America-Arab Summit, which is coming right up.  At that point, the big issue was the string of governments recognizing the Palestinian state.  What a difference a month makes.  Now everyone is focused on Egypt, and as result the summit may be postponed.  It does not take too much reading between the lines to figure out why.  From Peruvian President Alan García:

"We understand that there is a severe problem of instability in the zone and some (leaders) are wary of leaving the area," Garcia said.

Put another way, authoritarian Middle Eastern leaders do not want to leave their countries and then suddenly find themselves ousted and not allowed back (or allowed back under arrest).


Vicente Duque 2:20 PM  

Foreign Policy Mag suggests that Egypt will become the next Pakistan : How the United States could end up paying even more for an anti-American Egypt - Faking cooperation with the USA while not loving American Policies in the Region
Egypt is in a very grave economic situation, it's gravest problem is to feed the population and provide some semblance of jobs, some pale simulation of economic progress. Economic Help will be strongly needed.

Egypt will become a nation of very reluctant cooperation with the USA in order to be bankrolled - Total lack of enthusiasm for helping the USA in Foreign Policy while asking for billions.

My Idea : Another possible Scenario is Egypt becoming totally antiAmerican, but this is less probable in consideration of the Great Poverty and Economic Catastrophe that this nation is living. However it can not be discarded.

Egypt has had more contact with the West than Iran, Egypt has been influenced by Alexander the Great, the Greeks and Romans, the Crusades, Napoleon, the British, etc .... Iran has always been more oriental and less influenced by Europe during its History, even if it was conquered by Alexander too.

Foreign Policy Magazine
This Week at War: The Pakistan Scenario
How the United States could end up paying even more for an anti-American Egypt.
FEBRUARY 4, 2011

Robert Haddick is Managing Editor of Small Wars Journal. He writes the “This Week at War” column for Foreign Policy and is a member of the Small Wars Journal management team.

From 1988 to 2006 Haddick was Director of Research, investment portfolio manager, and later a consultant to The Fremont Group, a large private investment firm and an affiliate of Bechtel Corporation. He established the firm’s global proprietary investment operation; led a research and trading network spanning the United States, Europe, Latin America, Asia, and Australia; and was president of one of Fremont’s overseas investment subsidiaries. Haddick frequently advised the Board of Directors and other top level committees on geopolitical, macro-economic, and investment market trends.

Haddick was an officer in the U.S. Marine Corps.

This Week at War: The Pakistan Scenario


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