Friday, May 08, 2009


The Obama administration has increased the budget for E-Verify, the database of social security numbers, by 12 percent, or $112 million. I think E-Verify could potentially be an effective aspect of enforcement, but for now I have two main concerns.

First, it has glitches. For example, about 10 percent of foreign-born citizens get flagged, then must go through the hassle of proving to the government that they're in the country legally. In 2008, about 3.5 percent of all queries were deemed to be mismatches, and no one knows whether they were truly in the country illegally or if they got screwed.

Refusal to acknowledge its bugs tends to make supporters view it as a magic bullet. This neat online system will deter people from seeking jobs and therefore they won't cross the border in the first place. It is tempting to think in such simplistic terms.

Second, it has to be accompanied by immigration reform, which will then regulates the proper number of workers in the country (even in a recession). We should all know by now that enforcement alone does not work.


Vicente Duque 12:21 PM  

Gregory Rodriguez thinks that Sonia Sotomayor won't be appointed to Supreme Court - Because Republicans do not court Latinos

I feel a lot of respect and admiration for Gregory Rodriguez, Great Intelligence and Great Intelectual. He may be wrong, but he is always very deep in his thoughts and comments.

My Corollary for this Theorem is that CIR or "Comprehensive Immigration Reform" is not so important for Obama and pursuing it could be a Pandora's Box for Democrats.

Los Angeles Times
The jilted Latino voter
Both parties once courted Latino voters. But the GOP tilted rightward, and now the economy and jobs are the big issues, even among Latinos. It all means less focus on them as a voting bloc.

Gregory Rodriguez
May 11, 2009,0,7559755.column

Some excerpts :

Paradoxically, it might be that such lopsided support means there will not be a Latino nominated to replace retiring Supreme Court Justice David H. Souter. It's one thing to put U.S. Appeals Court Judge Sonia Sotomayor, a New Yorker and the daughter of Puerto Rican immigrants, on the short list.

But without solid Republican competition for Latino votes, the pressure to actually name her is minimal. (Besides, the White House is no doubt aware that Puerto Ricans make up less than 10% of the U.S. Latino population and, if Obama is looking for gains in that demographic, such a selection would have little political resonance in Western battleground states and among the two-thirds of Latinos who are of Mexican origin.)

All this adds up to Democratic complacency vis-a-vis Latino voters (and probably no Latino nominee). Democrats have other constituencies -- generally more sophisticated, monied and politically savvy -- to tend to.

In the meantime, a survey published last week by the nonpartisan Latino Decisions found that 63% of respondents identify the economy and jobs as the "most important issue for the new administration this year" (at 12%, immigration reform was a distant second). That means that, like most Americans, Latinos have money on their minds. And if the president helps ease the financial crisis, he's likely to keep their support no matter what else he does.

Democratic strategists surely recognize the growing role Latinos will play in the future of politics in this country. The question is how far out of their way they will go to court them, especially without the presence of Republicans vying for Latinos' electoral love.

Vicente Duque

Vicente Duque 10:00 PM  

There is a special Primary Election in California today Tuesday. To fill the seat at the House of Representatives vacated by Hilda Solis, secretary of Labor for Mr Obama.

I assume that we are not going to know the results until 3 or 4 hours later, because of California Pacific Time.

Judy Chu and Gil Cedillo are the favorites.

But if Emanuel Pleitez wins today then it would be very revolutionary, that candidate having worked with Obama in the transition team and being only 26 years old. He is strong in Finance and has worked for Goldman Sachs.

The Pleitez campaign has been poor in money but strong in Obama-like tactics of energizing youth.

The election agains the Republican is in July.

I plan to analize what happens in California.

Vicente Duque

sharon 3:57 AM  

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