Wednesday, September 26, 2012

More on Romney and Latinos

We're seeing a spate of op-eds about how Mitt Romney can increase the number of Latinos voting for him. They all point to roughly the same conclusion: embrace immigration reform. What's bizarre, though, is the almost lack of recognition about the political consequences. Michael Gerson tosses this off at the end of his column:

The Republican embrace of immigration opponents will eventually deprive every other element of conservatism (pro-defense, pro-life, pro-business) of national influence.

That's it. No big deal, just deprive your base of its influence. In essence, then, he is explaining precisely why Romney likely won't do so well.

The rubber will hit the road, so to speak, during the debates. Romney's message is that President Obama has failed at immigration reform, and that he can do it. He will then be challenged a) about congressional Republican resistance to immigration reform; and b) the specifics of his proposal. His answers to a and b have a good chance at alienating his base.

In short, Romney will have to calculate the net gain of voters. Increasing the share of Latino votes means losing votes elsewhere. But how many?


Defensores de Democracia 3:28 PM  

Mr Weeks :

Don't worry for your Latino Friends :

Bets Obama/Romney : Mitt Romney accelerating in free fall - It does not seem impossible that Mitt Romney loses North Carolina, Missouri, Arizona and even Indiana. We have never seen such incredible collapse of a candidate. Data here

INTRADE Bets Obama/Romney in Swing States :

Colorado D65.8 R34.1, Florida D63 R25.1, Iowa D71.9 R28, Nevada D79.8 R24.9, New Hampshire D75.6 R22, North Carolina D42 R60, Ohio D78.6 R22, Virginia D70.1 R30, Wisconsin D71.1 R21

Arizona D22.7 R87.4, Georgia D9.9 R91, Indiana D19.8 R88, Michigan D91.8 R9.3, Minnesota D92.2 R10.1, Missouri D24.5 R75, New Mexico D89.9 R6.5, Oregon D96.9 R10.8, Pennsylvania D87 R10.1, Texas D9.5 R91

These are bets for Presidential Winner in each state.

Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012 : 74.8%

Mitt Romney to be elected President in 2012 : 25.1%

Democratic nominee to win 320 or more Electoral College votes in 2012 Presidential Election



Republicans to control the Senate after 2012 Congressional Elections



Republicans to control the House of Representatives after 2012 Congressional Elections



Defensores de Democracia 8:37 PM  

VIDEO : This Is How You Fight Voter Suppression! - Fight Racial Profiling, Harassment, Unfair Treatment, Being Constantly detained by police because of looking different. .... Voter Registration Drive

Fight Voter Supression and the intent to rig the election in favor of Republicans and against Democrats - Register now and vote against the Voter Supressors !

Published on Aug 29, 2012 by Cuentame - Latino Instigators

Watch this video to ensure you know how to register to vote and what to bring with you to the voting booth!

In 2011, Florida made some important changes to its voting laws. Ever Floridian needs to understand these changes particularly African Americans, Latinos, young voters, and women. These changes address how civic groups register people to vote, who is eligible to vote and when people can vote.

This Is How You Fight Voter Suppression!


  © Blogger templates The Professional Template by 2008

Back to TOP