Tuesday, October 17, 2006

Can AMLO pull a Nixon?

This may be it for AMLO. He lost the election, lost support for the Mexico City protests, and now his favored candidate (for whom he campaigned) lost the governor's race in his home state, Tabasco. With 96% of the vote counted, he was 10 points down.

Óscar Luis Rodríguez, a longtime member of Mr. López Obrador’s party in Tabasco, put it more bluntly. “Andrés Manuel has lost credibility,” he told the daily newspaper El Sol. “He has lost respect. Here Andrés Manuel was born, and here he has been buried.”

There is also a good quote from Ricardo’s blog:

“Andrés Manuel López Obrador es como los elefantes. Se vino a morir a su tierra"

"Andrés Manuel López Obrador is like the elephants, he came to die on his own land"

Fernando Moreno Peña, from the PRI, as quoted by El Universal


At the very least, he’ll have to pull off a Nixon. After losing the presidential and then the CA gubernatorial elections, he famously told the press, “You won’t have Dick Nixon to kick around anymore.” And he was elected president six years later.

4 comments:

Ricardo 1:18 PM  

Greg,

AMLO has a history of pulling back from the grave. I guess he can be able to pull a Nixon. However, he is still pushing his "presidency" and has signaled that he will name a cabinet on November 3rd. For me he has to let go fo a while if he wants to pull back a Nixon...

Ricardo

Greg Weeks 1:36 PM  

True--Nixon totally left the spotlight for years.

MSS 1:05 PM  

Two problems with the Nixon analogy. First, Nixon himself ran for that governor seat, while AMLO had a surrogate. Would AMLO himself have lost in Tabasco? I don't know, but I imagine it would have at least been closer. Second, Nixon did not undermine his own position after losing an election by crying fraud and shutting down parts of the capital (even though he probably had a better case of fraud than AMLO did).

That said, I agree with Ricardo. Reports of AMLO's demise are probably premature.

Greg Weeks 2:49 PM  

As was the case with Tricky Dick. This analogy is too much fun to give up on yet.

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